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Friday, April 29, 2011

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Thursday, April 28, 2011

Forex Daily Analytics: The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recomme...

Forex Daily Analytics: The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recomme...: "Overview: The euro is still in upside movement and observing the buy signal with target level 1.4826, the price reached the target level, b..."

The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for April 28, 2011

Overview:
The euro is still in upside movement and observing the buy signal with target level 1.4826, the price reached the target level, but there are no signals for the movement to end. The formed buy signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. At the moment the first target level is passed, therefore the current target for the upside movement is 1.4950 – the second resistance level. If this level is passed the next target will be the third resistance level at 1.5251. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.4690), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show the continuing upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, which indicates current upside movement, therefore it is possible to trade up now; if the MACD reverses down it will denote the beginning of another correction and it will be recommended to cut long positions.




Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.4950 and further to 1.5251. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.4690 and stretch it up as the Kijun-sen advances. If the MACD reverses down it will be recommended to cut long positions.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.
The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27627/?x=OUE  

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

USD/CHF Bullish Outlook April 27, 2011 (Daily Strategy)

USD/CHF
The sharp downward wave that led to United States dollar-Swiss franc to the stronger support level 0.8670 (Weekly Support ) for the moment failed to halt the continued disintegration of the pair.We can see in the chart that appeared the reversal pattern Japanese BULLISH HAMMER, which strengthens the conjecture that the pair will change direction and begin to ascend.

The positive deviation of the MACD indicator, adds weight to the positive outlook regarding the pair. The upside potential can reach the 0.9220 resistance level at least. Should consider the important support level of 0.8640, as a stop loss in case of continuing the current wave bearish.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27563/?x=OUE
 

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Support And Resistance Levels For April 26 / 2011

TODAY  TECHNICAL  LEVEL :

Breakout Buy level : 1.4623.
Strong Resistance : 1.4614.
Original Resistance : 1.4600.
Inner Sell Area : 1.4586.
Target Inner Area : 1.4551.
Inner Buy Area : 1.4516.
Original Support : 1.4502.
Strong Support : 1.4488.
Breakout Sell level : 1.4479.

TODAY  OUTLOOK :

Even in the bigger timeframes the trend bias of this currency is still in an uptrend, but in the intraday charts the EUR/USD looks exhausted from the uptrend movement (red: we spot the Head And Shoulder formation in the m30), it must advance to the upside again, this pair needs  a retracement (event a small one) to provide a good and healthy Bullish trend. So please pay attention to Today Intraday Breakout SELL Level at 1.4479, especially if the EUR/USD can break out and close below that level. However if this pair can break out and close above the 1.4625 (The "head" of the Head and Shoulder Formation) it will hold the downtrend situation for today.

TODAY  SUGGESTION :

BUY   if the EUR/USD can break out and close above 1.4550; set the first target at 1.4568 and 1.4600 as the second target.
SELL if the EUR/USD can break out and close below 1.4475; set the first target at 1.4450 and the second target at 1.4425.


http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27425/?x=OUE
 

Monday, April 25, 2011

EUR/USD. Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points, For April 24-29, 2011

____WEEKLY_____
Weekly - R3 = 1.5251
Weekly - R2 = 1.4950
Weekly - R1 = 1.4755
Weekly Pivot = 1.4454
Weekly - S1 = 1.4259
Weekly - S2 = 1.3958
Weekly - S3 = 1.3763

_____MONTHLY______
Monthly - R3 = 1.4852
Monthly - R2 = 1.4550
Monthly - R1 = 1.4352
Monthly Pivot = 1.4050
Monthly - S1 = 1.3852
Monthly - S2 = 1.3550
Monthly - S3 = 1.3352
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27327/?x=OUE

Thursday, April 21, 2011

The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for April 21, 2011

Overview:
The euro is still in upside movement, and as a result a new buy signal with target level 1.4826 was formed,the price also managed to pass 2 resistance levels. The formed buy signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. Thus, at the moment the first target for the upside movement is 1.4668 – the third resistance level, as the previous two were passed. If this level is passed the second target will be the resistance level of the bigger timeframe at 1.4852. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.4385), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show the continuing upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, which indicates current upside movement, if the MACD reverses to the downside it will denote the beginning of a correction.





Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.4668 and further to 1.4852. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.4385 and stretch it up as the Kijun-sen advances. If the MACD reverses to the downside, it is recommended to cut long positions.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window. 




Performed by Stanislav Polyanskiy, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27207/?x=OUE


Wednesday, April 20, 2011

USD/JPY Technical Analysis. Support And Resistance Levels For April 20 / 2011

TODAY  TECNICAL  LEVEL :

Resistance. 3 : 83.22.
Resistance. 2 : 83.05.
Resistance. 1 : 82.89.
Support. 1 : 82.69.
Support. 2 : 82.53.
Support. 3 : 82.36.

TODAY  OUTLOOK :

After a break of the Resistance 82.70 level the USD/JPY tested the next resitance at the 83.00 level, and this level was broken in the early morning. It seems the pair found its equlibrium between 82.75 and 83.25 However, pay attention for the today's Resistance. 3 usually after reaching these level the pair will be reverses between 10 pips to the 20 pips but if the pair after reaches these levels and still goes up more than 50 pips in, this will denote that the USD/JPY will be going up again.

TODAY  RECOMMENDATION :

BUY   if the pair break out and close above 83.12, set Take profit at 83.29 (3 days high) as the first target and 83.46 as the second target.
SELL if the pair can break out and close below the 82.75 level, set Take profit at 82.54 as the first target and the 82.21 level (3 days low's) as the second target.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27079/?x=OUE

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

EUR/USD candlestick analysis for April 19, 2011

EUR/USD pair is rolling back after it could not break the resistance level 1.4520.
Nevertheless, it is still trading in an uptrend after it has successfully broken the 1.4278 resistance level. As mentioned before, a break of this level will target the pair to 1.4577.
Earlier in the intraday chart EUR/USD shaped a Bullish Engulfing candlestick combination which is an explicit signal to growth.
Such a candlestick combination points to the growth of the pair for several weeks. However, there was a rollback registered at the 1.4035 level which was a good opportunity to start buying.
Further upside movement is supported by the fact that the uptrend remains.
The break of 1.4035 resistance level proves this viewpoint. Now we should expect upside movement to the resistance level 1.4278.
It is worth mentioning that stop loss orders should be placed slightly below 1.4100 as a break of this level will denote that the uptrend is broken
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/27021/?x=OUE

Monday, April 18, 2011

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast April 18th - APRIL 22nd / 2011


WEEKLY REVIEW :
The EUR/USD is still trading above the 10 weeks periode moving avarage, and the slope of the moving avarage is still pointing to the upside, it means the trend bias of the pair in weekly charts is still in a Bullish situation, however the closing candle of the last week closed below the opening weekly bar, but still in the body of the previous week, so we categorized the downside movement as a small retracement. However please pay attention to the 1.4370 and the previous low weekly candle at the 1.4362 level, because we predict that this week this level has a potential to be tested by the EUR/USD, if this level can be passed and broken out, the EUR/USD will have a potential to go down to the Fibonacci Support 38.2% at the 1.4327 as the first target and the Fibonacci Support 50% at the 1.4268. However if the 1.4490 can be broken and passed by this pair, this week the EUR/USD will test the 1.4519 level.

.


Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26897/?x=OUE

Thursday, April 14, 2011

USD Review 14-04-2011

USD againts Major Pair Review :
The USD Dollar weakened againts almost all major pairs except the GBP that traded in a ranging situation againts the USD. Againts the EUR, CHF and the YEN, the USD is still in a downside situation.

USD Againts Commdoll :
Againts the Commodity Dollar Pair, the USD still looks weak as well, event againts the CAD and the AUD, the USD strengthened slightly, but the bearish pressure for the USD is still in advance.



Conclusion :
Because the USD still has a bearish pressure in almost all Major Pair and the Commodity Dollar, we predict for today that the USD will be still in a downtrend situation againts all the major and the comdoll pair.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26743/?x=OUE

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels - April 13, 2011

GBP/JPY has finished wave 130.18-139.93 - wave C of medium term uptrend, colored royal blue in the chart. And now corrective wave 4 is developing. This wave on smaller scale has four subwaves within it, and corrective subwave 4 is still developing - colored orange red in the chart. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 139.93-135.62 and 139.15-135.62.

Resistances:

- 137.27-38 = confluence area of .382 and .50 retracements
- 137.78-80 = .50 and .618 retracements
- 138.28 = .618 ret

If the downtrend resumes the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 130.18-139.93, 122.49-139.93, and expansions off 139.93-137.92-139.15.

Supports:

- 135.06 = .50 retracement
- 133.90-89 = confluence area of .618 retracement and SXOP
- 133.27 = .382 ret
- etc.

If the price reverses up the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the waves down from 139.15 and 139.93 - these waves are not developed yet.

Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term is down it's preferable to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (current prices).

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26677/?x=OUE




Tuesday, April 12, 2011

EUR/USD Daily Forecast For April 12 / 2011




DAILY FORECAST :http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26593/?x=OUE
The bias of the pair is still in a Bullish situation, BUT we got a warning signal from the divergence between the MACD Histogram, because the price is making a new high, but the MACD Histogram made a Double Top formation, it means the EUR/USD will have a l retracement to the downside, especially if the EUR/USD can break out and close below the Fibonacci Support 23.6% at 1.4379, it will cause the pair to go down to test the Dynamic Support at 1.4358 (5 Periode Moving Avarage in Daily Charts) as the first target and 1.4311 (Fibonacci Support 38.2%) as the second target. On the other hand, if the pair can break out and close above today's opening at 1.4434, it will cause the EUR/USD to go up to 1.4451 as the first target and 1.4475 as the second target.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26593/?x=OUE


Monday, April 11, 2011

The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for April 11, 2011


Overview:
We can see that the euro is still observing the buy signal, correction movement has ended, which allows us to trade up. The formed sell signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. Thus, the first target for the upside movement is 1.4501 – the first resistance level, reached already. If this level is passed the second target will be the second resistance level at 1.4597. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.4325), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, thus indicating current upside movement, if it reverses down, long positions should be cut as this will denote the beginning of a correction movement.







Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.4501 and further to 1.4597. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.4325. If the MACD reverses down, it is recommended to cut long positions.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their
release.



The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.





Performed by Stanislav Polyanskiy, Analytical expert
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26527/?x=OUE


Friday, April 8, 2011

The EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for April 8, 2011


Overview:
We can see that the euro is still observing the buy signal, correction movement has ended, which allows us to trade up. The formed sell signal is strong and confirmed, since the Chinkou Span fixated above the price graph and the price is above the Ichimoku cloud. Thus, the first target for the upside movement is 1.4395 – the first resistance level, reached already. If this level is passed the second target will be the second resistance level at 1.4542. Upside movement remains while the price is above the Kijun-sen (1.4280), if the price fixates below this line it is recommended to cut long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price graph, which confirms the current buy signal and indicates bullish sentiment. The Bollinger bands show upside movement, the lines are diverging and directed up. The MACD is ascending, thus indicating current upside movement, if it reverses down, long positions should be cut as this will denote the beginning of a correction movement.





Trading recommendations:
Currently it is recommended to trade up with target at 1.4395 and further to 1.4542. Stop Loss should be placed below 1.4280. If the MACD reverses down, it is recommended to cut long positions.
In addition to technical image, one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their
release.



The chart annotation:
Ichimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26419/?x=OUE





Thursday, April 7, 2011

GBP/USD candlestick analysis for April 7, 2011


GBP/USD is rolling back severely after it failed to break the support level near 1.5960.
Earlier in a daily graph the GBP/USD formed a Three Black Crows candlestick combination, which indicates a downside movement.
This candlestick combination formed after the pair had failed to break the resistance level near 1.6400, which means that the bulls could not solidify here. Further the bears started to increase their influence.
A break of the support level 1.5960 will prove this viewpoint. In this case downside movement to 1.5750, where Fibonacci correction level 61.8 is also located, should be expected.
It is worth mentioning that stop loss should be placed slightly above the 1.6400 level. Since a break of this level will target the pair to 1.6450.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26315/?x=OUE


Wednesday, April 6, 2011

EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Support And Resistance Levels For April 06 / 2011


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVEL :
Breakout Buy level : 1.4302.
Strong Resistance : 1.4294.
Original Resistance : 1.4280.
Inner Sell Area : 1.4266.
Target Inner Area : 1.4233.
Inner Buy Area : 1.4199.
Original Support : 1.4186.
Strong Support : 1.4172.
Breakout Sell level : 1.4164.

TODAY OUTLOOK :
Today the EUR/USD tested the 3-days high at the 1.4270 level and it looks like this level has provided a strong resistance for this pair for a few days. Today the pair will face two options, either it will test the 3-days high at 1.4270 or it will test the 1.4250 level as a support level. However, do not expect any significant movement because all market paricipant are still waiting for the ECB press release about their intrest rate tomorow (Thursday).

TODAY SUGGESTION :
BUY if the EUR/USD can break out and close above 1.4275; set Take profit at 1.4300 as the first target and 1.4315 as the second target.

SELL if the EUR/USD can break out and close below 1.4250; set Take profit at 1.4235 as the first target and 1.4221 as the second target.




Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26239/?x=OUE

EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Support And Resistance Levels For April 06 / 2011

Tuesday, April 5, 2011

GBP/USD candlestick analysis for April 5, 2011

In a daily graph the GBP/USD is rolling back after it failed to break the support level near 1.5960.
Earlier on a daily graph the GBP/USD has formed a Three Black Crows candlestick combination, which indicates downside movement.
This candlestick combination has formed after the pair failed to break the resistance level near 1.6400, which means that the bulls could not solidify here. Further the bears started to increase their influence.
Break of the support level 1.5960 will prove this viewpoint. In this case downside movement to 1.5750, where Fibonacci correction level 61.8 is also located, should be expected.
It is worth mentioning that stop loss should be placed slightly above the 1.6400 level. Since a break of this level will target the pair to 1.6450.


http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26141/?x=OUE

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Monday, April 4, 2011

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast April 4th - 8th/2011

WEEKLY FORECAST :
With the 10 Weeks Periode Simple Moving Avarage slope going up and week closing bar chart heading up and making an Outside bar / railroad (red:engulfing) pattern, all this situation indicates that upside momentum for the pair is strong enough. It seems that next week the EUR/USD will test the next Resistance at the 1.4281 level. If this level can be broken by the pair, it is expected to go up to the 1.4363 level. On the other hand, if the EUR/USD goes back to the downside and breaks out below 1.4185, the pair is to be back to the 1.4185 level that will hold the Bullish momentum of this pair for the next week. Please pay attention to the next Thursday (April; 7th /2011), because there is a chance the ECB hikes the intrest rate.


Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/26033/?x=OUE

Friday, April 1, 2011

USD/JPY Monthly Forecast for April 2011

MONTHLY OUTLOOK :
In monthly charts the USD/JPY is still trading in a downtrend channell, however last month the pair had a strong momentum to break out the support level 80.20 BUT in a short time it came back to the ranged zone at 80.20 - 84.50. Anyway, the pair made a reversal candle pattern in monthly charts last month and this situation mae a Stochastic Indicator form a divergence with candlestick charts (green lines), so we predict this pair to test the Resistance level 84.50 this month; if this level is broken, there's a chance that the USD/JPY will test the next Resistance at 85.68 (Fibonacci Resistance 50%). On the other hand, if the pair is back to the downside, especially if 83.15 can be broken, the USD/JPY will go down to the 81.82 level again.




Performed by Arief Makmur, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/25939/?x=OUE