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Friday, July 20, 2012

Gold Continues To Remain Sideways Choppy Before Breakdown.. 2012-07-20



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Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:
As it is depicted above, the yellow metal remains locked in a decreasing resistance/ increasing support type cone structure. If we study the wave counts after the highs registered at 1640.00 levels, we are in the 5th wave now which should break down to lower levels. Until 1620/25 levels are not breached, expect gold to breakdown. We recommend to go short on any intraday rallies towards 1580/90 levels.
Trading Recommendations:
Remain short, stop at 1620/25, and target fresh lows.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

Gold Bais Turns Increasingly Towards A Bearish Breakdown 2012-07-19



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Technical Outlook and Chart Setup:
Yesterday we discussed that the yellow metal is vulnerable towards a bearish breakdown till prices are below 1600.00 level. Today we re-confirm the above depicted structure. Immediate resistance is now at 1600.00 level, it is expected that prices should not exceed this for now. Expect a bearish breakdown to materialize soon, which would bring in a paradigm shift in the trend. We shall turn bullish only on a clear break of 1620.00 level on the higher side.
Trading Recommendations:
Short at current market price (1673-75), Stop 1620, target open.

Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Gold Vulnerable Below 1600.00



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Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:
Let us focus specifically on the recent consolidating structure, as shown above. It is basically a cone structure within the down swing from 1780 levels at least. Such structures have slight tendencies to break towards the swing or trend (which is down in this case). Till the time we are within the consolidation, our strategy should be to buy the support (1540/50) and sell resistance (1590/1600). Aggressive trading should be performed only on a break on either side.
Trading Recommendations:
For now, buy the support region around 1550.00 and sell the resistance region around 1590.00. Later on, trade will be in the direction of break.

Tuesday, July 17, 2012

EUR/USD Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for July 17, 2012





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Overview

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair is still taking the upward movement after its rebound from the Support level 1.2170 and currently is approaching to the Resistance level 1.2330. If the pair is able to break the Resistance level and close 4H above, we will receive a strong indicator for more bullish move which enables the Resistance level 1.2405. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the bullish signals. In case the pair manages to break this Resistance level 1.2405, we will get more bullish signals till reaching the Resistance level 1.2460.
On the other side, if the pair fails to break the Support level 1.2330 and bounces from it, this will provide a good opportunity for the bearish signals till reaching the Support level 1.2225. Then we should wait for breaking the Support level to continue the bearish signals. Given that the pair manages to break this Support level and closes 4H below, a bullish strength will provide new sell signals and enable the Support level of 1.2170 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide more bullish signals, but as long as the Resistance level of 1.2330 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.
Resistance and Support Levels
R3(1.2460)
R2(1.2405)
R1(1.2330)
S1(1.2225)
S2(1.2170)
S3(1.2140)

Trading Recommendations
According to previous analysis, we recommend buying after breaking the Resistance level 1.2330 and closing 4H above with TP 1.2400; SL closing 4 hours below the Resistance level will be appropriate.

Monday, July 16, 2012

EUR/USD - Weekly and Monthly Pivot Points for July 16 - 20, 2012




The pivot point is used as support and resistance at the same time; it is the first level that we observe. For this week the pivot points (weekly and monthly) for EUR/USD are: 1.2248 weekly; 1.2564 monthly.
The euro is located near the pivot weekly and bellow the Moving Average of 200 periods.
Therefore, the pivot points indicate the following:
1) If the price set by the pivot point is broken in an upward motion, the market is bullish and, conversely, if the pivot point is broken in a downward motion, the market is bearish.
2) They can provide points of market entry and exit or can be removed which is useful for trading strategy. For example, a sell limit order can be placed on a level support for open if this support is broken and the stop loss can be placed for this order in one of the Resistances.
Signal For 16 - 20 July
Buy long 1.2170 with Take Profit at 1.2410 and with the Stop Loss at 1.2100 or Buy above 1.2250 with Take Profit at 1.1.2410.

____WEEKLY_____
Weekly - R3 = 1.2504
Weekly - R2 = 1.2419
Weekly - R1 = 1.2333
Weekly Pivot = 1.2248
Weekly - S1 = 1.2162
Weekly - S2 = 1.2077
Weekly - S3 = 1.1991


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____MONTHLY______
Monthly - R3 = 1.3301
Monthly - R2 = 1.3023
Monthly - R1 = 1.2842
Monthly Pivot = 1.2564
Monthly - S1 = 1.2383
Monthly - S2 = 1.2105
Monthly - S3 = 1.1924


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Friday, July 13, 2012

GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 13, 2012



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On the mid-term scale, the GBP/USD currency pair is moving sideways in a slightly bearish channel since it managed to breakdown the mid-term uptrend line depicted on the chart.
Price levels of 1.5460 and 1.5520 which correspond to 61.8% and 50% of Fibonacci levels based on the previous bullish swing 1.5266 up to 1.5774.
On the intraday scale the price zone of 1.5400 corresponds to the lower limit of the long-term channel which constitutes a very strong support zone and is likely to push the GBP/USD pair to the upside to 1.5520 and 1.5570 then 1.5640 with SL located below 1.5390.
A short-term Head & Shoulders reversal pattern was seen this week at the key-zone of 1.5460 – 1.5520 which was broken down yesterday. However, GBP/USD failed to make higher highs. Instead, it’s building a bearish pressure over the support level of 1.5400.
The pair is probably forming a mid-term bearish Head & Shoulders reversal pattern with its right shoulder located around R1 (1.5645) which is rendered a valid sell entry with SL located above 1.5725.
The current price level 1.5500 constitutes a strong intraday resistance for GBP/USD which should be watched for price action today as its breakthrough will open the way towards the next resistance at 1.5570 then at 1.5640.

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Gold Major Breakdown May Be Under Way 2012-07-12



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Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:
As depicted above, gold seems to be in a larger consolidation structure since last quarter 2011, the dropping line of resistance. Taking into account the inside wave structure, the yellow metal seems to be in a wave 4 consolidation between 1540.00 and 1630.00. Anything above 1630.00 will break out of the consolidation structure; but for now we expect a breakdown of 1530.00 levels in near term.
Trade Recommendations:
Sell intraday rallies 1580.00/1600.00 levels, Stop at 1630.00, Target Open.