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Friday, November 18, 2011

GBP/USD: Tight Sideway Range. 2011-11-18

Technical analysis

Mourad El Keddani

 

Pivot Point: 1.5752.


GBP/USD:
  • Resistance: 1.5899. (Sell below this level).
  • Support: 1.5613. (Buy above this level).

It should be noted that the market was not stable and trend was not also so clear (It was tight sideway range), aswell according to previous events, the price has still been trapped between 1.5899 and 1.5613 so it is of the wisdom to be careful at this area. Therefore first step is wait for a period of tight sideway range market before breakouts. Then, it will probably that the market is going to start showing the signs of bullish market. In other words, it will be a good sign to buy above 1.5613 with a first target of 1.5718 and it'll climb towards 1.59. However, If the the pair could not break 1.59, hence the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below 1.59 then the level will be act really as strong resistance, for that it will a good sign to sell below 1.59 with a first target of 1.57 and it will call for downtrend in order to continue bearish towards 1.5613 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels).

Intraday Technical levels ((18th of November 2011)):

R3:1.5937
R2:1.5874
R1:1.5815
PP:1.5752
S1:1.5693
S2:1.5630
S3:1.5571

Definition (s):


Range I – A long-term mean reversion strategy that looks to go against strong divergence from the pair’s average value. It will typically hold trades for an extended period of time and is one of the slower moving trading strategies.
Range II– Like Breakout 2, uses sentiment as a filter for its trades. It will use a simple oscillator range trading strategy but only take the trading signals if SSI is not at extremes. It is fairly short-term in nature and will tend to trade very little during times of strong trending moves. It is likewise one of the most volatility-sensitive trading systems and will tend to do poorly during times of sharp currency moves.

Observation (s):

Please check out the market volatility before investing, because the sight price may have already been reached and scenarios become invalidate.
Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/44094/?x=OUE
InstaForex

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