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Friday, December 9, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for December 9, 2011

Wave analysis
Roman Molodiashin



GBP/JPY is developing corrective wave B (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 119.31. Within this wave there are A and B waves (colored royal blue in the chart) of smaller degree, with subwave B still developing from 122.64. The targets below the current price are Fibonacci retracements of 119.31-122.64, and expansions off 122.64-120.90-122.15, 122.15-120.86-121.58.
Supports:
- 120.78 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 120.58 = .618 retracement
- 120.41 = objective point (OP)
- 120.29 = OP
- 119.49 = expanded objective point (XOP)
If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the wave down from 122.64 - this wave is not developed yet, so no resistances are available so far.

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (15-30 pips below the current prices).
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