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Friday, September 16, 2011

GBP/USD wave analysis for September 16, 2011


Alexander Dneprovskiy
Wave analysis




As expected, during yesterday trading the GBP/USD continued to form the inner wave structure of the upside correction. At the same time, the correction level 38.2% (1.6055) might act as a possible target for such correction. In the meantime, the whole correction structure would look much more convincing if the level 50.00% (1.6160) coinciding with the upper limit of the inclined corridor was hit.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38822/?x=OUE

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Fundamental Analysis, September 15, 2011

There is a scenario of global slowdown, mainly influenced by the debt problems of Europe and the delicate economic situation facing the U.S., which now has a population growth of around 1% that fails to reduce the high levels of unemployment. In this environment, emerging countries, mainly Latin Americans, although they are entrenched in a situation with respect to external shocks, and are not immune to a possible worsening of the fiscal crisis of the G3 debt and feel the impact, especially relating to external trade (real channel) and capital flows (financial channel).

The reduction in global demand has added to concern policy makers in emerging countries, which suffer a contraction in aggregate demand in their economies. The exhibition of Latin American countries to the vagaries of the business cycle in developed economies, unlike other historical moments, is relatively low, Mexico is the exception because it depends heavily on the U.S. economic cycle. However, the main trading partners in the region, as is the case of China has a high exposure to economic problems that may arise in the advanced economies, and could spread to Latin America indirectly.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38758/?x=OUE

GBP/USD Intraday Technical analysis 2011-09-15



Albert Fitoussi
Technical analysis




 The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its short-term bearish channel in 1.5810 suggesting a decline. However a break of these levels would allow it to initiate a new trend.
According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will have broken its resistance in 1.5810 with a 1st objective of 1.5920, then 1.5950. A break in 1.5780 would invalidate this scenario.

http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38686/?x=OUE

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

EUR/USD wave analysis for September 14, 2011


Alexander Dneprovskiy
Wave analysis






Yesterday during the whole day the EUR/USD currency pair was trading between 1.3570 and 1.3730 levels. At the same time the formation of the expected 4th wave in the 3rd, or c, was continued. It should be mentioned that given the current inner wave structure of this 4th wave we might expect that its targets are located between 1.3750 and 1.3800. In the meantime, in case the euro finds enough power to continue the upside movement to higher price levels, the inner wave dimension of the 3rd wave, or c, will demand corresponding corrections.


http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38572/?x=OUE
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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 13, 2011




Roman Molodiashin
Wave analysis

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are five subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with impulse subwave 5 still developing from 124.36.
The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci expansions off 130.81-123.27-127.31, 127.31-124.47-126.55, 126.55-123.04-124.36, 124.36-121.27-122.55.
Supports:
- 120.85 = objective point (OP)
- 120.64 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 119.77 = OP

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 124.36-121.27.
Resistances:
- 122.45 = .382 retracement
- 122.82 = .50 ret
- 123.18 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (20-25 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (50-60 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38444/?x=OUE

Monday, September 12, 2011

EUR/USD Intraday Technical Level For September 12nd / 2011



Arief Makmur
Technical analysis


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVEL :

Breakout BUY Level : 1.3648.
Strong Resistance : 1.3640.
Original Resistance : 1.3627.
Inner Sell Area : 1.3614.
Target Inner Area : 1.3581.
Inner Buy Area : 1.3973.
Original Support : 1.3535.
Strong Support : 1.3522.
Breakout SELL Level : 1.3514.

DESCRIPTION :

Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.3535, and 1.3627 is accompanied by a strong support at 1.3522 and 1.3640 strong resistance; If today the EUR/USD can break out and close below the 1.3514 level then this indicates considerable Bearish  strength, while if the EUR/USD today can break out and close above the 1.3648 level then this indicates considerable Bullish strength . Alternatively you can trade in a way to open BUY position at the level of 1.3973 and 1.3614 SELL position in which case both  targets are at the 1.3581 level.
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38288/?x=OUE

Friday, September 9, 2011

GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 9, 2011



Roman Molodiashin
Wave analysis

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave С (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are four subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with subwave 4 still developing from 123.04.
The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 123.04-126.55, and expansions off 123.04-123.93-123.11, 123.11-124.36-123.60.
Resistances:
- 124.37-38 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .382 retracement
- 124.55 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 124.80-85 = confluence area of .50 ret and objective point (OP)
- 125.21 = .618 ret
- 125.44 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 125.62 = XOP
If the price continues the downtrend the immediate supports will be Fibonacci expansions off 130.81-123.27-127.31, 127.31-124.47-126.55, 126.55-123.04-124.36.
Supports:
- 122.65 = COP
- 122.19 = COP
- 121.95 = XOP

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (45-60 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38184/?x=OUE