GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 9, 2011

Roman Molodiashin

Wave analysis

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave С (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are four subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart) with subwave 4 still developing from 123.04.
The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 123.04-126.55, and expansions off 123.04-123.93-123.11, 123.11-124.36-123.60.
Resistances:
- 124.37-38 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .382 retracement
- 124.55 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 124.80-85 = confluence area of .50 ret and objective point (OP)
- 125.21 = .618 ret
- 125.44 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)
- 125.62 = XOP
If the price continues the downtrend the immediate supports will be Fibonacci expansions off 130.81-123.27-127.31, 127.31-124.47-126.55, 126.55-123.04-124.36.
Supports:
- 122.65 = COP
- 122.19 = COP
- 121.95 = XOP

Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets above the zero level (10-15 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (45-60 pips above the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/38184/?x=OUE