GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for September 29, 2011

Roman Molodiashin

Wave analysis

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C (colored light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 127.31. Within this wave there are five subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and subwave A is now developing against the downtrend from 116.78, therefore wave C may be coming to an end. Within this wave (A) there are two waves of still smaller degree (colored red) with subwave B still developing. The targets of the upmove are Fibonacci retracements of 127.31-116.78, and expansions off 116.82-120.39-118.71.
Resistances:
- 120.80 = .382 retracement
- 120.92 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 122.05 = .50 ret
- 122.28 = objective point (OP)
If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 116.78-120.39.
Supports:
- 118.59 = .50 ret
- 118.16 = .618 ret



Overbought/Oversold
Assuming that the major wave is now up it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator gets below the zero level (20-25 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (45-60 pips below the current prices).
http://instaforex.com/forex_analysis/39980/?x=OUE